1、STP 1450 Probabilistic Aspects of Life Prediction W.Steven Johnson and Ben M.Hillberry,editors ASTM Stock Number:STP1450 mlrloA.ASTM International 100 Barr Harbor Drive PO Box C700 West Conshohocken,PA 19428-2959 Printed in the U.S.A.Copyright by ASTM Intl(all rights reserved);Fri Dec 18 15:59:36 ES
2、T 2015Downloaded/printed byUniversity of Washington(University of Washington)pursuant to License Agreement.No further reproductions authorized.Library of Congress Cateloging-in-Publicntlon Data(To come)Copyright?9 2004 ASTM International,West Gonshohocken,PA.All rights reserved.This material may not
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8、 Dec 18 15:59:36 EST 2015Downloaded/printed byUniversity of Washington(University of Washington)pursuant to License Agreement.No further reproductions authorized.Foreword The Symposium on Probabilistic Aspects of Life Prediction was held in Miami,FL on 6-7 November 2002.ASTM International Committee
9、E8 on Fatigue and Fracture served as sponsor.Symposium chairmen and co-editors of this publication were W.Steven Johnson,Georgia Institute of Technology,Atlanta,GA and Ben Hillberry,Purdue University,West Lafayette,IN,iii Copyright by ASTM Intl(all rights reserved);Fri Dec 18 15:59:36 EST 2015Downlo
10、aded/printed byUniversity of Washington(University of Washington)pursuant to License Agreement.No further reproductions authorized.Contents Overview vii SECTION I:PROBABILISTIC MODELING Probabilistie Life Prediction Isnt as Easy as It Looks-c.ANNIS 3 Probabdistic Fatigue:Computational Shnuation-c.c.
11、CHAMIS AND S.S.PAl 15 The Prediction of Fatigue Life Distributions from the Analysis of Plain Specimen Data-D.P.SHEPHERD 30 Modeling Variability in Service Loading Spectra-D.F.SOCIE AND M.A.POMPETZKI 46 SECTION II:MATERIAL VARIABILITY Probabilistic Fracture Toughness and Fatigue Crack Growth Estimat
12、ion Resulting From Material Uncertainties-B.FARAHMAND AND F.ABDI 61 Predicting Fatigue Life Under Spectrum Loading in 2024-T3 Aluminum Using a Measured Initial Flaw Size Distribution-E.A.DEBARTOLO AND B.M.HILLBERRY 75 Extension of a Microstructure-Based Fatigue Crack Growth Model for Predicting Fati
13、gue Life Variability-M.p.EGlCr AND K.S.CHAN 87 Scatter in Fatigue Crack Growth Rate in a Directionaliy Solidified Nickel-Base Snperalloybs.HIGHSMITH,JR.AND W.S.JOHNSON i04 Mechanism-Based Variability in Fatigue Life of Ti-6A1-2Sn-4Zr-6Mo-s,K.JHA,J.M.LARSEN,A.H.ROSENBERGER,AND G.A.HARTMAN 116 Predict
14、ing the Reliability of Ceramics Under Transient Loads and Temperatures with CARES/Life-N.N.NEMETH,O.M.JADAAN,T.PALF1,AND E.H.BAKER 128 V Copyright by ASTM Intl(all rights reserved);Fri Dec 18 15:59:36 EST 2015Downloaded/printed byUniversity of Washington(University of Washington)pursuant to License
15、Agreement.No further reproductions authorized.vi CONTENTS Fatigue Life Variability Prediction Based on Crack Forming Inclusions in a High Strength Alloy Steel-P.s.SHAME,B.M.HILLBERRY,AND B.A.CRAIG SECTION III:APPLICATIONS 150 Preliminary Results of the United States Nuclear Regulatory Commissions Pr
16、essurized Thermal Shock Rule Reevaluation Project-T.L.DICKSON,P.T.WILLIAMS,B.R.BASS,AND M.T.KIRK 167 Corrosion Risk Assessment of Aircraft Structures-M.LIAO AND J.P.KOMOROWSKI 183 A Software Framework for Probabilistic Fatigue Life Assessment of Gas Turbine Engine Rotors-R.CRAIG MCCLUNG,M.P.ENRIGHT,H.R.MLLWATER,G.R.LEVERANT,AND S.J.HUDAK,JR.199 Application of Probabllistie Fracture Mechanics in Structural Design of Magnet Components Parts Operating Under Cyclic Loads at Cryogenic Temperatures-M.